let’s recap:
March/April: W13 L16
May: W17 L11
June: W10 L16
what is it that we want from our teams? is it daily excellence or just the World Series? do intangibles like hustle and spirit matter, or is it all that we remember, the wins and loses?
i don’t have a pat answer for that. ultimately, we want champions, i think. we aren’t ready to sell our soul to get one, but nonetheless, we would trade our current position to be in the running for October.
it’s the same for the guys playing; after a few seasons in the sun, they all want a ring – it’s all that matters. and once you have one, you want more, till you are playing for one for the thumb.
so 12 more games till All-Star break. we’ve played 83 games and sit at 40 wins and 43 loses; about what you would expect if you routinely followed the Astros. are we out of contention? by most metrics, no. is it pretty to be where we are? uh, no again.
while pondering our less than stellar record for 2008, it made we wonder: what is the Astros all time win/loss percentage? i had no clue. so i grabbed the data and figured it out!
since 1965 we are 3456 for 6840 games, or more useful, .505. if you had asked me prior to doing that i would have guessed over 50% but below 53%. well, there you have it. we’re almost flat out average.
but we have no point of reference for this metric. how do other teams rank? big market vs small market. oldies vs the kids. let’s take a look:
Yankees = .550
Cubs = .481
LA Dodgers = .533
Minn Twins = .499
Atlanta Braves = .531
those are win/loss percentages from 1965 forward. funny, huh? i would have expected a greater spread. anyway, here is a link to the Excel spreadsheet if anyone wants it.
so, does this prove that even the best teams are barely above a coin flip over time? does it mean anything? can teams only be managed for micro trends in a macro world?